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DAVE HARRIS: Welcome to another podcast of Dave On Stocks. This
show is for Monday March 5th
2007. Podcast #45. I'm Dave Harris. I'm a long term investor with a
diversified portfolio of stocks. What we
have in play is a very volatile stock market, and I expect that to continue for
the next few weeks. Last week was the beginning of a correction that was long
overdue. After a brief period, I think the market will rally again. I don't
believe the market's fundamentals are the problem. Most indicators are pointing
toward slow, but steady economic growth. Few expect a recession, and my belief
is that inflation will be under control as Fed chairman Bernanke
said. Yes, worries
persist about companies in the subprime mortgage
business and the February consumer sentiment reading from the Viacom Inc. (VIA) reported a 32% increase in revenue
for the 4th quarter, beating expectations. Profit almost tripled
mostly due to the movie business which had over $86 million dollars in
quarterly revenue vs. about $761 million the year earlier. I think the addition
of DreamWorks was a great move for Viacom. Yearly revenue rose 19%. I have a
buy rating on the stock. Viacom closed at $39.17 on Friday. It should be
trading at $45. Water utility company Agua America (WTR) reported a positive 4th
quarter on strong customer growth and more favorable weather. For the full
year, customers rose 7%. For the quarter, operating revenue went up 11%.
Diluted EPS was .19 cents per share compared to .17 cents last year. Net income
rose 16%. Rate settlements added to the solid results. I think Agua I'm unhappy with results
from computer maker Dell (DELL). The
fourth quarter profit fell 33% on poor laptop sales. Dell is under SEC
investigation for their accounting. Until I see this company turning around, I
suggest you sell the stock. Dell closed Friday up .17 cents at $23.18. I think American International Group (AIG) is
looking good here. The insurer's fourth quarter net income skyrocketed to $3.44
billion, and over $14 billion for the year. The company also plans to buy back
$5 billion work in stock this year and will increase the annual dividend by
20%. AIG is a buy. The stock closed Friday at $69.54. I think the stock is
headed to $80 this year. There's some significant
economic data to watch later this week. A report in initial jobless claims is
Thursday. On Friday it's a report on non-farm payrolls, average hourly earnings
and average workweek data for last month. We'll also get a read on
unemployment. That'll give you a good idea on labor market conditions. Also on
Friday, the Commerce Department will issue a report on international trade. That's all for today's podcast of Dave On Stocks. Yes, I
think it will be a volatile week. I'll talk to you again soon with another
show. Remember you can write me with any questions or comments at the "contact
us" link on this page. My website is www.daveonstocks.com.
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