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DAVE HARRIS: Welcome to podcast # 34. I'm Dave Harris. This is for Friday Jan 26th
2007. I'm a long term investor with a diversified portfolio of stocks. There
wasn't much this week in the form of economic data. I'll get into that later,
but so far I don't think inflation is posing enough of a threat to justify a
rate hike from the Federal Reserve at the next meeting. Meanwhile, earnings
news is on center stage. I like what I've seen overall from 4th
quarter earnings. The tech sector is getting a boost again from encouraging news
from Yahoo and Texas Instruments. Sun
Microsystems (SUNW), the computer server and software developer, also pleased
investors. The company said revenue went up and earnings beat expectations in
the fiscal second quarter. It looks like the company is turning around here.
But if you want a better tech stock, I suggest you buy IBM (ticker IBM) or Intel
(INTC) instead of Sun Microsystems. I think the future looks good for Yahoo. They beat the street in the 4th
quarter. The revenue guidance for the first quarter of about 1.2 billion and roughly 5.4 billion
for the full year was in-line with expectations. More importantly, there's a lot of excitement over the company's
new Advertising technology called Project eBay (EBAY) beat expectations in the 4th
quarter. The business is exceptionally strong in the Johnson and Johnson (JNJ)
had a good report. There was a 4th quarter profit increase of 3 and a half
percent. EPS was .81 which beat by 2 cents and the revenue increased over
8%-that was expected. The company had higher sales for overseas products. There
was a great showing for the consumer health division and pharmaceuticals. For
the full year, EPS was forecast in line around $4.05-$4.10 per share. I suggest
buying the stock here at around $66 per share. I think JNJ is on the way to $75
dollars. The results from Abbott labs
(ABT) were fair in my opinion. They had a 4Q loss from the AT&T (T) beat expectations with their 4th quarter profit increase of 17%. Even when excluding the costs associated with the Bell South merger, EPS was .61. That was above analyst views. For the year, income rose 54% and Revenue up 44%. The company said it was a strong year and they're looking really good going into 2007, in my opinion. Double digit earnings growth and cash flow is in the works for this year. AT&T is my stock pick of the week and definitely a buy here at around $36-$37 per share. I'm going to raise my price target to $50 per share in the next 12 months. McDonald's (MCD) I
think is a BUY. They said 4th quarter profit doubled. MCD had record
sales overseas and plan to open 800 new stores this year mostly in There's more trouble on the housing front. Sales of existing homes fell .8% last month. The media wants to blame that for any weakness in the stock market. I don’t agree. Is this really a surprise to anyone? We've known for months that housing is bad. Has it bottomed? I think it has a bit further to go. New home sales for December come out later today from the commerce department. Many people are applying for unemployment benefits. The claims rose to 325,000, which was more than expected. I think it was good news that the index of leading economic indicators rose 0.3 Percent in December. That came in slightly lower than expected. This data means we should expect modest economic growth in the months ahead. I mentioned earlier that inflation poses little to no threat in my view, and I think this news supports that idea. I think the 4th quarter earnings were generally strong and that tells me a recession is unlikely any time soon. Later today we'll see how manufacturing is from a report on durable goods orders. Also new home sales for December comes out today from the commerce department. That's all for today's show. I'm Dave Harris. Write me an email with any questions or comments at the "contact us" link on this page. My website is www.daveonstocks.com. Thanks for listing. This is Dave On Stocks. |
Copyright 2007 Dave On Stocks. com
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